With just over two weeks remaining before Election Day, the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains a virtual dead heat. A series of recent polls indicates Harris holds a narrow national lead, while key swing states are too close to call.
According to a Morning Consult poll released Tuesday, Harris leads Trump by four points nationally, 50% to 46%. This margin is consistent with last week's results but reflects a slight decrease from her earlier 51%-45% advantage.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll also published Tuesday shows Harris ahead by three points, 46% to 43%, within the poll's two-point margin of error. This mirrors last week's findings, where Harris led 45% to 42%.
In the battleground states, the competition is even tighter. A USA Today/Suffolk University poll of likely voters conducted from October 14-18 indicates Harris holds a slim one-point lead, 45% to 44%. This is a narrowing gap from a five-point lead in their August poll.
Trump has regained momentum in certain surveys. A Fox News poll released Wednesday indicates Trump leads Harris among likely voters, 50% to 48%, flipping the two-point lead Harris held in September.
Tight margins persist in additional surveys. The Harvard CAPS/Harris poll from October 11-13 has Harris leading 51% to 49%, a shift from a tie in September. An NBC poll released October 13 shows the candidates deadlocked at 48% each among registered voters. An ABC/Ipsos poll the same day places Harris ahead by two points, 50% to 48%, within the margin of error.
In the crucial battleground regions, the CBS/YouGov poll reports Harris leading 50% to 49%, a slight decrease from her earlier 52%-48% edge.
As both campaigns intensify their efforts in the final stretch, the tight race underscores the significance of voter turnout and the potential impact of late-breaking developments.